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2009年4月12日星期日

China Modernizing Its Military Power, Pentagon Says


Washington — China’s military modernization program has made considerable progress in building and fielding credible and capable military power with regional and strategic implications, a new Pentagon report says.
“The United States welcomes the rise of a stable, peaceful and prosperous China, and encourages China to participate responsibly in world affairs by taking on a greater share of the burden for the stability, resilience and growth of the international system,” according to the latest annual assessment of China’s military power. Military Power of the People’s Republic of China 2009 was released March 25.
The report states that “much uncertainty surrounds China’s future course, particularly regarding how its expanding military power might be used.”
China’s People’s Liberation Army — which includes the army, navy and air force — has been changing from a mass army designed for protracted land wars of attrition in China to one that can fight and win short-term, high-intensity conflicts along China’s borders against better-equipped and better-trained armies. China’s effort to make the shift from a revolutionary army to a modern, high-technology armed force has been fueled by the acquisition of advanced foreign weapons, high rates of investment in the domestic defense and science and technology industries, and significant reforms in the armed forces’ organization and doctrine, the report said.
China’s sustained economic growth from a gross domestic product of $1.95 trillion in 2000 to a projected $4.19 trillion in 2008 has enabled the country to focus greater resources on building up its armed forces without overwhelming its economy, the report said. One significant measure of the progress China is making toward modernized armed forces is its annual budget for defense spending. In 2000, China spent an estimated $27.9 billion on defense, and in 2008 that amount increased to $60.1 billion, though the budget does not account for all defense spending, the report said. Some defense spending is included in other budget areas such as science and technology.
“China’s ability to sustain military power at a distance remains limited, but its armed forces continue to develop and field disruptive military technologies,” the report said. In particular, China has made great strides in developing nuclear, space and cyberwarfare technologies, the report said. According to the Pentagon report, China has not fully developed the capability to sustain military or naval forces far beyond its immediate region for long periods of time.
These improvements are changing the regional military balance and have implications across and beyond the East Asia-Pacific region.
Even while relations between Taiwan and China improve, the Chinese armed forces modernization has continued to build up short-range missiles opposite Taiwan across the Taiwan Strait. “In the near term, China’s armed forces are rapidly developing coercive capabilities for the purpose of deterring Taiwan’s pursuit of ... independence,” the report said.
China increasingly has become capable of contributing cooperatively to the international community’s responsibilities in areas such as peacekeeping, humanitarian assistance and disaster relief, and combating maritime piracy, the Pentagon said.
Pentagon press secretary Geoff Morrell said March 25 that the report, which is required by Congress annually, provides some new details, some additional specificity, but no new major strategic insights regarding capabilities.
“Of course, we acknowledge we can’t see all, so we have advocated time and again for more dialogue and transparency in our dealings with the Chinese government and military, all in an effort to reduce suspicions on both sides,” Morrell said. “The objective of this report is to give a clear and factual description of Chinese military capabilities.”

五角大楼指出中国正在实现军力现代化


美国国务院国际信息局《美国参考》Merle David Kellerhals Jr.于华盛顿报道,据五角大楼一份有关中国军力的最新年度评估报告指出,中国军事现代化计划在建设和部署具有区域及战略意义的能力方面已取得可观进展。
这份于3月25日发布的《中华人民共和国2009年军力报告》(Military Power of the People’s Republic of China 2009)说:"美国欢迎一个稳定、和平及繁荣的中国的崛起,并鼓励中国以负责的方式参与世界事务,更多地分担维护国际体制的稳定、活力及发展的重任。"
报告说,围绕中国未来走向,特别是其不断壮大的军事力量的可能用途方面,存有许多不确定因素。
包括海、陆、空三军在内的中国人民解放军本来是一支仅仅适合在国内开展消耗型持久地面战的庞大军队,但目前正在发展成一支能够在中国边界地区与装备更精良和训练更有素的敌方部队作战并能打赢高强度短期战争的军队。
报告还说,由于获得先进外国武器、对国防及科学技术领域进行了大量投资、以及对武装部队的建制和军事理论实施重大改革,解放军由一支革命军向现代高科技武装力量发展的进程大大加强。
报告说,中国经济持续增长,其国内生产总值由2000年的1.95万亿美元上升至2008年的4.19万亿美元(预测数字),从而使中国能够投入更多的资源,在不影响经济发展的前提下加强军队建设。
中国为实现军队现代化而取得的进展明显体现在其每年的国防开支预算上。2000年,中国的防务开支大约为279亿美元,2008年则增加到601亿美元,但其预算并没有包括所有防务开支。 一些防务开支被列入其他预算领域,如科技研发。
报告说:"中国维持远程军事力量的能力仍然有限,但其武装部队继续研发和部署干扰性军事技术。" 报告说,中国尤其在发展核战、太空战、网络战技术方面取得巨大进展,但至今尚未完全具备在远离其邻近地区长时间维持陆军和海军力量的能力。
中国的军力加强正在改变地区军事平衡,对整个东亚-太平洋地区及其他地区产生了影响。
尽管台湾与中国的关系获得改善,中国军队在现代化进程中继续以台湾为目标部署短程导弹。报告说:"在近期内,中国武装部队出于吓阻台湾寻求......独立的目的,正在迅速发展压制性军事能力。"
五角大楼的报告说,随着实力增强,中国军队在维和、人道援助、救灾以及打击海盗活动等方面能够更多地分担国际责任。
五角大楼新闻秘书杰夫∙莫雷尔(Geoff Morrell)3月25日表示,国会要求每年提交的这份报告提供了一些新的细节以及一些新增加的具体内容,但没有提出任何新的战略性分析结果。
"当然,我们承认我们无法看到一切,因此我们一再提倡在与中国政府和军队交往时需要增加对话和提高透明度。这一切都是为了减少双方的相互猜疑而作的努力。这份报告的目的是要对中国军事能力作出清楚的、符号事实的陈述。"